Friday, April 11, 2014

Where is MH370?? Not found in the Indan Ocean


Where is MH370

If found, MH370 will be on land in Northern Australia,  Somalia, Yemen, Oman, Iran, or Pakistan.

It will not be found in the Indian Ocean, even if it is there.  There is no valid data that indicates that it will be found in the present search area.

Recent scientific calculations clearly show that the information supplied by Inmarsat is bogus.  (see marvinsthinking.blogspot.com),  The places where the plane may be found are shown in Figure 1.  This conclusion is based on the following facts not speculation.

1.        The communication systems were turned off 40 minutes after take-off and the plane was turned to the west from the path to Beijing.

2.       A competent pilot was in control of the airplane.

3.       The last radar detection placed the plane 500 km to the west 1:30 minutes after take-off.

4.       The plane flew for 6 hourshH 8 minutes at a nominal true airspeed of 872 km/hr for a total nominal distance of 5350 km.

5.       The plane was not detected by air defense radar in any of the countries the north of the last known position.

The area where the end point of the flight may be is shown in Figure 1. 



Anywhere inside the large blue circle is possible based on the known facts about speed and direction of the plane.  The plane could have turned south at the time of the second ping or north at the time of the fourth ping.  The north and east regions above the limiting paths shown are excluded on the basis that a plane flying in this space would have been detected.  If the plane had flown for 6 hours 8 minutes toward any region within range it would have reached  somewhere on the  large blue circle.  It is obvious that a large portion ends in the Indian Ocean including the region being searched, but there is no evidence to favor one area over any other.  It is also possible that the plane flew about aimlessly and crashed anywhere inside the circle.  In either case the plane will never be found and the present search effort is a waste of time and energy.  On the other hand, if the person controlling the plane had a definite destination in mind, he could have reached the northern coast of Australia, or the coast of Somalia, Yemen, Oman, Iran, of Pakistan.  Any serious effort to find the plane should be directed to these areas.
 

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